Everything we know about the Bayesian yacht tragedy one year on

Salvage begins

Operations for the recovery of Bayesian are set to start at midnight tonight, according to an official order signed by Coast Guard Lieutenant Commander Alessandro Barra. In the next few days, salvage specialists Hebo Maritiemservice and Smit Salvage will deploy their heavy-lift vessels, Hebo-Lift 2 and Hebo-Lift 10, to the wreck's location at LAT 38° 05’.008 N – LONG. 13° 33’.109 E (pictured). An insider source tells BOAT International that the signalling system at the Scoglio della Formica – a rock shoal and historical landmark located approximately 100 metres from the wreckage – is malfunctioning, which is likely to cause a hazard at nighttime.

A 650-metre exclusion zone is now in place around the site, with overflight by any apparatus or aircraft also prohibited up to a height of 200 metres from the water's surface. The official order notes that once Bayesian is recovered and transported to the port of Termini Imerese, all naval units not associated with the salvage must maintain a distance of no less than 500 metres. Recovery is expected to take four weeks.

Salvage vessel to arrive in Sicily by 4 May

The 5,695 GT floating sheerleg Hebo-Lift 10 will join the work barge Hebo-Lift 2 as the vessel responsible for lifting Bayesian out of the water. Owned by Dutch towing company Hebo Maritiemservice, the Hebo-Lift 10 has a lifting height of 83.2 metres and a lifting capacity of 2,200 tons. At the time of writing, the vessel's AIS is registering off the coast of Portugal. It is scheduled to arrive in Palermo, Sicily on 4 May, after which it will travel to Porticello. 

Specialist anti-pollution teams that have been monitoring the area since Bayesian's sinking are now confirmed to be continuously involved in the upcoming salvage works, ensuring environmental protection remains a top priority during the recovery process.

Further details of salvage operation revealed

Credit: Antonio Cascio/Bloomberg via Getty Images

An insider source tells BOAT International that on-site works will be led by Dutch companies HEBO Maritiemservice and Smit Salvage, the latter being the company responsible for recovering the cruise ship Costa Concordia after her infamous 2012 sinking, with British-based consultancy TMC Marine overseeing the operation. Following the mobilisation of heavy-lifting and diving maritime assets from across Europe, the first stage will be the removal and recovery of Bayesian's 72-metre main mast. Underwater works are planned to commence shortly after.

UK inquest resumes

The UK inquest resumes at The Coroner’s Court in Ipswich. The court determines the scope of the investigation, suggests key witnesses and "interested persons" and receives key updates from involved parties such as the Maritime Accident Investigation Branch (MAIB) and the Maritime and Coastguard Agency (MCA). MAIB confirms that an interim report, which investigates the causes and circumstances surrounding the disaster, should be expected in “four to six weeks”.

Geophysical surveys being carried out

The Italian Coast Guard confirms that “geophysical surveys” are being carried out in the waters of Porticello. During this time, any other naval units are prohibited from anchoring or travelling in the area, as well as carrying out professional or recreational diving and fishing. Any public use is also prohibited unless expressly authorised.

The impact of the sinking six months on

On the six-month anniversary of the Bayesian sinking, BOAT International releases an investigative report into the tragedy's impacts on the wider yachting industry, speaking to figures in yacht law, emergency response and crew recruitment.

Possible plans for Bayesian presented to prosecutor's office

A syndicate of insurers led by British Marine, which insures Bayesian, presents eight possible plans to the prosecutor’s office in Termini Imerese, Sicily. The salvage is scheduled to begin in January 2025 but is later postponed due to the “complexity of operations”, namely poor weather.

Bayesian's builder takes legal action against New York Times

The Italian Sea Group (TISG) announces it is taking legal action against the New York Times (NYT) in response to an article published on 31 October 2024, intending to pursue the American newspaper for "the image damage referable to the brand and reputation of Perini Navi".

"The article reported a narrative about the sinking of the Bayesian, which was completely devoid of technical consistency without mentioning the source – which, if truly qualified, would have had no problem being quoted," the statement from TISG read.

UK inquest officially opens

The UK inquest officially opens at The Coroner’s Court in Ipswich, investigating the causes and circumstances surrounding the deaths of Michael Lynch, Hannah Lynch, Jonathan Bloomer and Judy Bloomer. The cause of death for Michael Lynch is attributed to drowning, with the deaths of the other three parties “still under investigation”.

Video surveillance equipment recovered

Italian Navy divers recover video surveillance equipment from Bayesian, including parts of the deck, video surveillance systems and hard drives. According to Reuters, the electronic devices will be sent to specialised labs outside of Sicily to check their condition and possibly recover data.